Coronavirus – Waiting For A Vaccine Is Waiting For Godot! And It’s Not The Best Solution Either!


Dealing with Covid-19, DoH doctors & UP mathematicians should learn health science from farmers!

Agriculture must go on – but the Enhanced Community Quarantine, ECQ, as dictated by doctors and mathematicians, is making it extremely difficult for government to function, private sector to operate, and farmers to grow our food – for all to benefit.

Being an agriculturist and a creative science writer, I shake my head when I see how doctors of the Department of Health, DoH, and mathematicians of the University of the Philippines, UP, are handling the pandemic:

DoH and UP are handling the Covid-19 crisis
not scientifically but only technically! Bad.

Dona Magsino of GMA News writes, 13 April 2020, “Philippine Covid-19 Problem May Last Until Jan. 2021 If No Intervention Will Be Done – DoH[1]”. Ms Dona’s first paragraph:

The Philippines' battle with coronavirus disease 2019 (might) drag on for months if proper interventions would not be implemented, Health Undersecretary Maria Rosario Vergeire said Monday, citing studies by experts.

Those are modelling studies. My Internet search found “Covid-19 Forecasts in the Philippines: Insights for Policy Making (Updated as of April 22, 2020)[2]” news by J Mikhail Solitario), researchers & paper authors being Guido David, Ranjit Singh Rye, and Ma Patricia Agbulos, all of OCTA Research of UP.

The objective of the OCTA research borrows from the objective of the ECQ. (Here, the OCTA report misspells “Enhanced” as “Enhance” (no d). That is a tell-tale sign to this Editor In Chief that the paper has not been carefully reviewed and/or edited. This misspelling is just an introduction to a graver error!

The OCTA mathematicians say:

Ending the ECQ prematurely may disrupt the flattening of the curve.

Based on this math-based research paper, Ms Vergeire said (my free translation):

They had 3 modelling estimates, and they arrived at differing timeline ranging from up to the 3rd quarter of the year, and worst case scenario, up to next year January.

The experts are maximizing the objective of the ECQ as “flattening the curve” before the ECQ is lifted. Ms Dona says, “(Ms Lim) said that it could take about six to 18 months before a vaccine against the new strain of coronavirus can be developed and distributed to the public.”

The ECQ is based on the absenceof a vaccine to fight the virus! What if the vaccine is never found?!

A more important question:
“Why are we relying on a vaccine when we can fight the virus on its own terms!?”

All doctors know that our body has an autoimmune system. Time for doctors to learn from farmers!

Now, how does a farmer grow healthy crops? No, you don’t plant “healthy crops” – rather, first you ensure that the soil is healthy, so it will grow healthy crops! The farmers who wait for the disease to strike before they strike back with their vaccine – chemical control – are the unscientific ones! (image of “Healthy Crops” from morningchores.com[3])

Our modern doctors are behaving like our olden farmers: unscientifically!@517







[1] https://www.gmanetwork.com/news/news/nation/733740/philippine-covid-19-problem-may-last-until-jan-2021-if-no-intervention-will-be-done-doh/story/
[2] https://www.up.edu.ph/covid-19-forecasts-in-the-philippines-insights-for-policy-making-updated-as-of-april-22-2020/
[3] https://www.pinterest.ph/pin/406942516333709042/

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